Predicting what is likely to happen in the middle East depends on good information. I have felt at a bit of a loss trying to work out Israeli casualty figures for example...I didn't think Hamas had been taking out as many tanks as they claimed: as it's somewhat difficult with home made weapons but did notice they prefer to target troops: especially officers.
Working out the ratio of injured to dead also presents problems as I assume available fast evacuation means more injured surviving but the numbers in this did surprise me though: