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    William Schryver: Staggering Towards the Abyss Archived Message

    Posted by sashimi on July 30, 2023, 10:50 pm

    29 Jul 2023

    I have long asserted, and I continue to be convinced, that the US could NOT
    establish air superiority against Russia, China, nor even Iran - not in a week;
    not in a year. Never. It simply could not be done. It would be a logistical
    power projection challenge well beyond the current capabilities of the United
    States military.

    American air power would prove substantially inferior to the extremely potent
    and abundantly supplied air defenses arrayed against it in any of those three
    countries.

    American suppression of enemy air defenses would prove woefully inadequate to
    the task.

    And even if any of the US's aerial wunderwaffen were to prove, in ideal
    circumstances, to be potent weapons, US air power as a theater-wide undertaking
    could not be sustained in the context of a non-permissive regional and global
    battlefield
    .

    In a high-intensity combat scenario in either eastern Europe, the China seas, or
    the Persian Gulf, the maintenance requirements for US aircraft could not be
    met. Mission-capable rates would plummet even lower than their notoriously
    abysmal peacetime standards.

    The US would, quite literally after only a few days, see sub-10% mission-capable
    rates for the F-22 and F-35, and sub-25% rates for almost every other platform
    in the inventory.

    It will be a huge scandal for the Pentagon ... but hardly a huge surprise.
    -- Cont'd at https://imetatronink.substack.com/p/staggering-towards-the-abyss

    Message Thread:

    • William Schryver: Staggering Towards the Abyss - sashimi July 30, 2023, 10:50 pm