Sadly, I think your predictions are accurate. I wouldn't count the Bethesda and La Sierra games, as I don't think Div ll or lower games should count. Unless, someday, we go to Div ll. If we ever go Div ll, I will become a fan of another university.
I don't think you have learned much from all these years with Monson. mar has. Here is what likely happens the rest of the way:
Current Record: 2-4
At SDSU: Lose by 30+, SDSU has had many close games and will enjoy a blowout.
Homecoming v LMU: Lions are good. Did get walloped by Florida St. 73-45, but beat SMU by 6. Close game, hard fought, less than 5 pt loss.
Home v Bethesda: 15-20 pt win.
At USC: 30+ pt loss.
Home v La Sierra. 107 people in the stands witness us grind out a 7 pt win (UCR beat them by 18).
At USD we lose convincingly (they have wins at Nevada and at UCR, close lose at home to Foolerton and 5 pt loss at a bad Cal team)
National Ranking before BW Conference play is around 275.
Leg #1, 3 roadies at SLO, Bake, Fool. We win the first and lose the next 2.
1-2 BW, 5-10 overall
Leg #2, 3 homies v Hawaii, SB, CSUN. Tough, hard fought loss to Hawaii, lose by 25 to SB, squeak a win by a bad CSUN team.
2-4 BW, 6-12 overall
At UCSD (not a BWC game this year) we lose by 20.
2-4 BW, 6-13 overall
Leg 3: Home v UCI. Scrappy game, lose in the final minutes by 4 pts.
2-5 BW, 6-14 overall
2 Game Roadie at UCR and UCD, we go 0-2.
BW 2-7, 6-16 overall.
Leg 4, 3 game homestand v Bake, SLO, Fool. We go 3-0 and look decent doing it. The 2 Monson supporters go ballistic with praise and brag how good he is.
BW 5-7, 9-16 overall
Leg 5, 3 game roadie at Hawaii, CSUN, UCSB. Game 1 we lose by 10. Game 2 we lose by less than 4. Game 3 we lose by 25.
BW 5-10, 9-19 overall
UCSD at home. Rare sighting of a good team. We win by around 10.
BW 5-10, 10-19 overall.
Final Leg, at UCI then home to UCD and UCR.
UCI crushes us at the Nerd Dome, we squeak a win past UCD, play UCR tough and lose by 5, both home games in front of less than 700 in the stands.
BW 6-12, 11-21 overall.
Lets say we come in 7th place BW. Play #2 UCI in the first round and flame out hard, lose by 20+.
BW 6-13, 11-22 overall. National ranking around 280. Monson get praise for being 'competitive with some of the Big West'. The pandemic gets blamed for everything since we had it rough the prior year.
Go 49ers!!! Our new men's basketball motto is 'Notches Below Mediocrity'
This is was huge. Much better coming home 1-2 vs going 0-3. Just maybe we can take a leap forward the play like this the rest of the year. Murray, Hampton and Slater can score and we have others with potential like Travore. We have a good chance to finish in the middle of the pack in the Big West which will be an improvement over the past few years.
Does not play modern basketball, basically runs the same turd offense that has never worked, relies too much on one on one play, has bigs that haven’t made a leap forward, and not once have I seen development in our shooting game.
I will acknowledge victories as I am happy for the athletes, There’s no excuse for our results in this tournament.
We still have the most athletic team in the Big West, which is how we could hang with UCLA for 25-30 minutes. We still have terrible court awareness and execution which is how we can get blown out by mediocre teams.
I have zero expectations for the rest of the season. I think we could win or lose any game on our slate. We have a top 2 program history, facilities, and ease of recruiting wise. If you tire Dan , you basically are only paying one year out of pocket right? As a new coach wouldn’t start til next cycle. Dan is a nice guy. Respect he has tried to run a clean program and let guys go who were not representing university well. I want this team to win, and don’t see Dan doing that.