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Hope to see a lot of students this is a huge game. Winnable? Doubtful but anything can happen. Its the Beach vs the Ocean (Triton).
UCSD Team Stats
Scoring margin: +18.2 ouch
FG% 46%
3 pt % 35%
FT% 75%
Rebounding margin +1.2
Assist/TO: 15 to 9 ouch
10.9 steals per game
The shooting % are solid but not over the top. Rebounding margin no big deal. Its how they take care of the ball and defense. Can't see how else they nearly score 20 pts per game more than opponents, who they are holding to 61.2 ppg.
Tait Jones at 18.2 ppg 5 rpg
McGhie 17.4 ppg and 43% from 3 and 90% from the line
Kapic and Gray around 11 ppg
They go about 10 deep
Feels like a high bball IQ ball control good shooting smart rebounding team, very UCI like. They don't have extreme height one guy around 6-10 but lots of solid 6-6 to 6-8 guys.
How Could We Win?
They won't have a bad night, but if they have a good night we're overmatched. Gotta hope they have an average game, are a bit sluggish, or their shooting is worse than normal. We'd have to shoot great, rebound ferociously, get solid games from just about everyone. They aren't incapable of a bad game, but its rare...they lost at home to Seattle U by 13. Seattle hit 10-20 3's and held them to 20 rebounds vs their 33 boards, and held them to 5-16 from 3 pts. UCSD is coming off a tough loss to UCI at home so likely they will work extra hard to get this win.
I don't see a win here, except in the rosiest colored glasses. UCSD is smart and well coached it seems, and will have seen the game tape and know our issues...expect a fair amount of backcourt trapping and crashing the offensive boards. If I were UCSD I'd zone the hell out of us make us hit 3s.
Prediction: UCSD 74, Beach 64. And that is predicting we do pretty well.
UCSD is around a -14 for this game.
I hope we aren't exposed, if that happens we can lose by a lot. I'd prefer we get into a grind it out game so from minute one our guys are focused on defense and rebounding hard. I don't see us having an x-factor everyone needs to contribute can't rely on Askew doing it all every game. OK if DMX has the game of his life that might be an X factor. Or if someone like Martin or Wainwright just goes off from deep. Would be nice if Denson had a huge game.
GO BEACH!!!
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