Low pressure of 1009 mb is located along the monsoon trough
near 17N106W, or a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of
Manzanillo, Mexico moving northwest near 10 kt. Satellite
imagery shows somewhat better organized scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection from 14N to 20N between 102W to 109W.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward or
northwestward at 5 to 10 kt, just offshore of the coast of
Mexico. This system has a high chance of becoming a tropical
cyclone during the next 48 hours. Please refer to the latest NHC
Tropical Weather Outlook at www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
NOAA, reminds me of the Bill Cosby record (like vinyl) that was a hit when I was a kid. He was also on TV, if you had one.
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