"The dynamical models are in relatively good agreement on this scenario,
and the official forecast lies near the various consensus aids. The new track forecast is a little right of the previous advisory due to the more eastward initial position".
Like the Cone of concern they always couch their words to limit the level of commitment. Using past discussions as a base the above is how they speak when confidence is very good.
As for wind speed they have the graphic below but I have never followed it enough to know the error rate.
This should auto update
For the amount of rain expected you would have to go to something like accuweather or use one of the data visualization programs like Ventusky or Windy.
Here is the accumulated rain for the next 3 days using Windy which says ? (depends on what model you have it set on).
Again, I have not followed this enough to know the accuracy. But its probably about the same as the rest of the program which is fair to poor, depending on how far in the future you are looking and what model you are running.
since the last measurement is 3 feet I am assuming .16 is .16 of a foot (a couple inches) not .16 of an inch.
« Back to index | View thread »