From where I sit (love that blog name)
I go to Tropical tidbits and don't see anything rotating counter clockwise (spinner) (click to animate)
I go to the NOAA 5 day forecast and see only a red rough outline of an area something may happen, no cone of confidence with timeline.
I mouse over that image and I get this (italics mine)
"Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure located near 14.5N107W or a few hundred
miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of
days. This disturbance is forecast to meander (what the #### does meander mean?) off the
southwestern coast of Mexico through the end of this week, (that is two days from now) and
then begin to move northwestward early next week".
I go to Ventusky and see a spinner
I go to Sunday 6 am and see it off our coast with waves of 8.4 feet
Then I go to Boca surf report and get this, which is the first indication that something is going to happen (even though it was the Boca Surf report that was 40% off on the last storm)
I know these are the early days of rain, wind, wave prediction algorithms and so I take it with a shaker of salt. But whats a blonde, sunset watchin, Tequila drinkin boy supposed to do?
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