Re: Rick ?
Posted by Daniel H on October 22, 2021, 2:11 pm, in reply to "Re: Rick ?"
Edited by board administrator October 22, 2021, 2:31 pm
Thanks for the update Bill, here is a screen shot of the current forecast (got to keep them honest) and a link to the constantly updated one below that |
Ventusky is still showing it going ashore down by Acapulco using the GFS model, which confuses me a bit because I have always thought that National Hurricane Center and Global forecast were in lock step with each other. Guess not.
The icon model shows it way out to sea, I don't think I have ever seen the models this far apart.
Ventusky dropped the GEM (Canada model) a couple of days ago, not sure why, so I have switched to Windy as they have lots of models (some don't go more than 3 days into the future). The best model out there is ECMWF and it shows the hurricane going right over us (a bit to the left of NHC track above). (this is from 7 pm last night)
Right now it is showing it tracking more out to sea
Edit: sorry I haven't learned how to link to a specific time / date on Windy, not even sure its possible. Go to Monday mid day.
What I really don't like is when the forecast disagree and in the middle of the disputed track is US!