La Manzanilla message board

Guess the rain - Winner - Andrew N June 27 5pm Posted by Moderator on May 7, 2023, 12:03 pm Edited by board administrator June 28, 2023, 6:47 am Guess the date and hour we will get 1/2 inch of rain in one day. No partial hours, no guess closer than one hour to an existing guess. If your guess is not in the subject box it will be deleted. Contest closes June 1. Winner gets $200 pesos.

June 17 at 8:00 Am Posted by Howie on May 7, 2023, 12:07 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Edited by board administrator May 7, 2023, 12:32 pm June 17 at 8:00 Am

June 20th - 2pm Posted by Ron Smith on May 7, 2023, 12:27 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 20th @ 2pm

July 14 - 4pm Posted by billb on May 7, 2023, 12:32 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" July 14 - 4pm

June 14 4 pm Posted by Jeanne C on May 7, 2023, 12:44 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Just keep my prize for me, Daniel.

June 21st at 2pm Posted by Faith S on May 7, 2023, 1:11 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Edited by board administrator May 8, 2023, 7:12 am My guesstimate.

May 27th…4 p.m. Posted by Stephanie on May 7, 2023, 1:39 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Guessing earlier this year!

June 27 5pm Posted by Andrew N on May 7, 2023, 3:18 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Rain guess

Re: June 26 1am Posted by Vartan on May 7, 2023, 7:55 pm, in reply to "June 27 5pm" June 26 1am

June 5 at 3 pm Posted by Felipe on May 7, 2023, 3:31 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Me gusta la lluvia!

June 14 4:pm Posted by Donna on May 7, 2023, 5:55 pm, in reply to "Re: Guess the rain" June 14.4pm

May 30-8PM Posted by Judy H and Felipe A on May 7, 2023, 5:45 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" May 30-8PM

June 15, 8:30 pm Posted by Jan G on May 7, 2023, 5:53 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Winner is June 15, 8:30 pm

June 4 6:00pm Posted by Beccistarr on May 7, 2023, 6:04 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" My guess

June 1 at 6pm Posted by Lola G on May 7, 2023, 7:44 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Sooner than later please rain god

June 11th 1:00am Posted by Dan Brown on May 7, 2023, 7:47 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 11th 1::00am

June 13 11PM Posted by ArtS on May 7, 2023, 8:32 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 13

June 16 8 PM Posted by KoryI on May 7, 2023, 8:34 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 16

June 18th 4pm Posted by Robbie Boyes on May 7, 2023, 9:00 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Some tight grouping here!

July 5 5pm Posted by Mazinka on May 7, 2023, 9:53 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" July 5, 5 pm

June 11 at 17:30 pm Posted by Denicio on May 7, 2023, 10:13 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 11 at 17:30pm

June 2 8 pm Posted by Donna B on May 8, 2023, 6:22 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" Rain guess

June 3 4 pm Posted by Kathy C on May 8, 2023, 8:19 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 3 4 pm

June 15 9 am Posted by James F on May 8, 2023, 8:35 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 15 9 am

May, 26, 18:00hrs Posted by Don F on May 8, 2023, 10:10 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" Kapoom, DF

May 21, 11AM Posted by Jenny on May 8, 2023, 10:22 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" 😀

JULY 1ST 3PM Posted by Wendy Joscelyn on May 8, 2023, 12:44 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Edited by board administrator May 9, 2023, 12:23 am JULY 1ST 3PM

June 13 2:00 p.m. Posted by Lynne on May 8, 2023, 1:56 pm, in reply to "Re: Guess the rain" Does "one day" mean a 24-hour period or beginning at midnight the day of the guess?

July 1, 3:00 pm Posted by wendy j on May 8, 2023, 9:00 pm, in reply to "Re: Guess the rain" july 1st 3:00pm

June 24 - 6:00 p.m Posted by Sharin A on May 8, 2023, 4:47 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 24 - 6:00 p.m.

July 10 7am Posted by Brady on May 8, 2023, 6:50 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" You must include text in the content of your message. Please complete your message and try again.

june 24 11am Posted by Charley on May 8, 2023, 8:59 pm, in reply to "July 10 7am" 👍😊😊🤷‍♀️👌✔😃🤞🤞🤞

June 29 6 AM Posted by Kathy on May 8, 2023, 11:11 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Edited by board administrator May 9, 2023, 12:23 am June 29 6 AM

Re:June 7 10 pm Posted by Ray on May 9, 2023, 8:40 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 7 10 pm

Re: Guess the rain Posted by Kathy on May 9, 2023, 10:58 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 29 6 AM

june 21 9 a.m. Posted by m morgan on May 9, 2023, 1:29 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" june 21 9 a.m.

Re: Guess the rain Posted by june 17th 8:00 pm Steve on May 9, 2023, 2:12 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" june 17th 8:00 pm

Re: June 13th 3 pm Posted by Tracy H on May 9, 2023, 4:06 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 13 3 pm

June 1 12 pm Posted by ChatGPT on May 11, 2023, 7:46 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" I did the 12 pm part. It was difficult to get GPT to make a guess, its always covering its ass, the thread is below. Prompt - What date will be the first rain for La Manzanilla del mar Mexico? ChatGPT I'm sorry for the confusion, but as an AI developed by OpenAI, I don't have real-time capabilities, which includes weather forecasting or real-time data tracking. My knowledge is based on a diverse range of sources available up until September 2021, and I don't have the ability to access or retrieve personal data unless it has been shared with me during our conversation. I'm designed to respect user privacy and confidentiality. For the most accurate and up-to-date weather forecasts for La Manzanilla del Mar, Mexico, or any other location, please refer to reliable weather forecasting websites or apps like The Weather Channel, AccuWeather, or your local meteorological department's website. Prompt - What date is normally the first rain for La Manzanilla del mar Mexico? ChatGPT La Manzanilla del Mar, located on the Pacific coast of Mexico, experiences a tropical climate. The rainy season typically begins in late May or early June and continues through October, with the heaviest rains usually occurring in July, August, and September. However, predicting the exact date of the first rain each year is not feasible due to the inherent variability in weather patterns. It's important to note that climate change can also influence these patterns, potentially altering the start and end dates of rainy seasons. For the most accurate information, it would be best to check historical weather data for La Manzanilla del Mar or consult with a local meteorological service. Prompt - take a guess ChatGPT As an artificial intelligence, I use data and probabilities rather than guessing. However, based on the typical onset of the rainy season in La Manzanilla del Mar, which usually starts in late May or early June, one might expect the first rain to fall around this period. Again, this is a general estimate based on historical trends and the actual date can vary significantly due to many factors including changes in climate patterns. Please check local forecasts for the most accurate and timely information. Prompt - use data and probabilities and give me a date, I won't hold you responsible ChatGPT As an AI, I don't have access to real-time or specific historical data, but based on general climate patterns in the area, the rainy season in La Manzanilla del Mar typically begins in late May or early June. If I were to estimate based on this, it could be that the first substantial rain might occur around June 1st. However, please remember this is a very rough estimate and the actual date can vary widely from year to year due to numerous environmental factors. Always refer to local meteorological services for accurate weather forecasts.

June 10 12 pm Posted by Google Bard on May 11, 2023, 8:07 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" This is really the first time I have asked Google Bard a question, quite different than Chat GPT. I used 12 pm as a medium. Prompt - What date will be the first rain for La Manzanilla del mar Mexico? According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the average first day of measurable rain in La Manzanilla del Mar, Mexico is June 10th. However, this is just an average, and the first day of rain can vary from year to year. In some years, the first rain may fall as early as May, while in other years it may not fall until July. Here is a table of the average first day of measurable rain in La Manzanilla del Mar for the past 10 years: Year First Day of Rain 2022 June 10th 2021 June 15th 2020 June 1st 2019 May 25th 2018 June 12th 2017 June 8th 2016 June 2nd 2015 June 17th 2014 June 1st As you can see, there is a lot of variation in the first day of rain from year to year. If you are planning a trip to La Manzanilla del Mar and you are concerned about rain, it is best to pack for all types of weather.

June 20 12 pm Posted by Bing chat on May 11, 2023, 8:36 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" Edited by board administrator May 11, 2023, 8:47 am Microsoft Bing also has a chat, the interface would take some getting used to but it was easy to convince it to take a guess. Its my first time using Bing chat and I think you have to use the Microsoft Edge Browser One nice feature is I don't have to log in like I do with ChatGPT and Bard. Prompt - What date will be the first rain for La Manzanilla del mar Mexico? According to the Weather and Climate website1, the most rainfall (rainy season) in La Manzanilla is seen in July, August, September and October. The AccuWeather website2 does not show any rain forecast for the next 15 days. Therefore, it is hard to predict the exact date of the first rain for La Manzanilla del mar Mexico, but it is likely to happen sometime in the summer months. 🌧️ Prompt - What date is normally the first rain for La Manzanilla del mar Mexico? I’m sorry, but I don’t have enough data to answer that question. The first rain date may vary from year to year depending on the weather patterns and climate change. However, as I mentioned before, the rainy season in La Manzanilla usually starts in July and ends in October. 🌦️ Prompt - Take a guess OK, I’ll try to guess. Based on the average rainfall data from the Weather and Climate website, the month with the lowest rainfall in La Manzanilla is May, with 0.4 inches. The month with the highest rainfall is September, with 11.8 inches. Assuming a linear increase in rainfall from May to September, I estimate that the first rain of at least 0.1 inches would occur around June 20th. However, this is just a rough guess and not a reliable prediction. 🤷

Re: June 20 12 pm Posted by GPT, Bard and Bing, oh my! on May 11, 2023, 7:48 pm, in reply to "June 20 12 pm" Based on their answers, AI is not quite ready to take over the world, maybe some day.. Spencer

Generative AI Posted by Daniel H on May 11, 2023, 8:22 pm, in reply to "Re: June 20 12 pm" Edited by board administrator May 12, 2023, 5:04 am I concur, not yet anyway. It is quite a spread of guesses but limited by my knowledge of how to query them. So much happening on that front, discussing it quickly becomes off topic, but would love to share links if your interested. I will email you. Most of the guesses on this page come from intuition or a gut feeling. I am pretty sure that all of the AI "guesses" are statistics based and have nothing to do with intuition which would be AGI. If you have an hour or so to burn Here is a link to Thinking, Fast and Slow | Daniel Kahneman | Talks at Google https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CjVQJdIrDJ0

June 6 -- 11 a.m. Posted by Jo Anna H on May 12, 2023, 9:17 pm, in reply to "Generative AI" I wonder how many of us have used our birth days as our "guesses". :0)

June 12 9:00 am Posted by Brian on May 15, 2023, 10:46 pm, in reply to "Generative AI" June 12 9:00am

june 17th 8:00 pm Posted by Steve Pearson on May 11, 2023, 10:32 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" june 17th 8:00 pm

June 4th 3pm Posted by matias on May 11, 2023, 6:01 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" i want it in lipsticks the 200pesos

june....7th....10:00...am Posted by west on May 11, 2023, 11:54 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Edited by board administrator May 12, 2023, 4:42 am june....7th....10:00...am

May 23 10pm Posted by Steven on May 12, 2023, 9:20 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" raindrops keep falling...

June 6 8am Posted by Paul on May 12, 2023, 1:21 pm, in reply to "May 23 10pm" June 6, 8 am

June 24th 10:00 AM Posted by Cruz G on May 12, 2023, 2:49 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Did I get in this time?

Jun 30, 4:30 pm Posted by Connie Stevenson on May 15, 2023, 4:54 pm, in reply to "Re: Guess the rain" Jun 30, 4:30

June 15th at 5pm Posted by Anderson on May 17, 2023, 10:13 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" June 15th st 5pm

July 4th, 7am Posted by Bret T on May 17, 2023, 5:59 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" Thanks

July 15, 4PM Posted by Nansee Little Tree on May 17, 2023, 9:04 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" July 15, 4PM

Re: Guess the rain Posted by Barbarita on May 21, 2023, 1:53 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" July 3

July 3 Posted by Barbarita on May 21, 2023, 1:54 pm, in reply to "Re: Guess the rain" July 3

Re: Guess the rain July 16 1 a.m. Posted by Mateo on May 31, 2023, 11:39 pm, in reply to "Guess the rain" July 16, 1 a.m.

Re: Guess the rain Posted by Moderator on June 1, 2023, 1:24 am, in reply to "Guess the rain" Contest closed. Here are the guesses in order May 21, 11AM - Jenny May 23 10pm - Steven May May, 26, 18:00hrs - Don F May 27 th…4 p.m. - Stephanie May 30-8PM - Judy H and Felipe A June 1 12 pm - ChatGPT June 1 at 6pm - Lola G June 2 8 pm - Donna B June 3 4 pm - Kathy C June 4th 3pm - matias June 4 6:00pm - Beccistarr June 5 at 3 pm - Felipe v June 6 8am - Paul June 6 -- 11 a.m. - Jo Anna H june....7th....10:00...am - west June 7 10 pm - Ray June 10 12 pm - Google Bard June 11th 1:00am - Dan Brown June 11 at 17:30 pm - Denicio June 12 9:00 am - Brian June 13 11 PM - ArtS June 13th 3 pm - Tracy H June 13 2:00 p.m. - Lynne June 14 4 pm - Jeanne C June 14 4m - Donna June 15 9 am - James F June 15, 8:30 pm - Jan G June 15th at 5pm - Anderson May June 16 8 PM - KoryI June 17 at 8:00 Am - Howie june 17th 8:00 pm - Steve Pearson Y June 18th 4pm - Robbie Boyes June 20 12 pm - Bing chat June 20th - 2pm - Ron Smith june 21 9 a.m. - m morgan June 21st at 2pm - Faith June 24 - 6:00 p.m - Sharin june 24 11am - Charley June 24th 10:00 AM - Cruz G June 26 1am - Vartan June 27 5pm - Andrew N June 29 6 AM - Kathy Jun 30, 4:30 pm - Connie Stevenson JULY 1ST 3PM - Wendy Joscelyn July 3 - Barbarita July 4th, 7am - Bret T July 5 5pm - Mazinka July 10 7am - Brady July 14 - 4pm - billb July 15, 4PM - Nansee Little July 16 1 a.m. Mateo

Winner - Andrew N June 27 5pm - Posted by Moderator on June 28, 2023, 6:43 am, in reply to "Re: Guess the rain" Winner is Andrew N with a guess of June 27 5pm Congratulations.

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