The whole thing seems to me like a scene from the moving ‘Zulu’ where you hear some chanting, then vast numbers of Zulus appear on the ridge above Rourke’s Drift. So there are some Russian troop movements and out of the apparent randomness emerges perhaps a huge force of Russian troops in southern Belarus, and a substantial number of missile-armed ships in the Black Sea and troops in Crimea so the potential for an enormous pincer movement to entirely bite off the eastern half of Ukraine materializes in the shocked minds of western strategists, and no sooner do they get the picture alongside a stern warning, the troops all dissolve away again into the mist. It would seem pretty neat to me, if true.
The whole think about Lukashenko could have been just a ruse blown up out of all proportion as a means to get Russian troops into southern Belarus, along the exact same lines as western cynical accusations against Russia used as a ruse to make strategic moves against Russia. And if so, this would be entirely justified on Russia’s part and pretty symmetrical.
- Regards, Shyaku