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Re: According to Orlov, nope - not though Orlov's best effort
I found Orlov's writing here florid and discursive and difficult to follow his reasoning. His flights of fancy didn't seem to make much sense to me. As I wrote above, there ar two simple reasons that Russia won't become bankrupt - first being that sanctions never achieve this , and secondly Russia's economy and politics is robust enough for sanctions to make little difference in any case. Because Russia's economy is bit isolated from the rest of the planet's, it's the nation most like to survive any major world-wide crash. (A little bit of autocracy is quite useful in this sort of crisis) And in this, I include China, who's economy is built on very shaky foundations of over-leveraged debt, is grossly over-stimulated and is itself the centre of the hyper-globalisation house of economic cards, that it is one of the most vulnerable countries around (excluding perhaps the UK) So the idea that China is going to be some great economic and global power to rival or overtake the US is very simplistic and probably wrong. The two could well collapse together. .