conflict has no winners, could have been prevented and will only end via diplomatic means
not military ones. Just as Putin miscalculated 8-9 months ago. So has the USA/NATO !
Just as Zelensky assumed the mantle of heroic leader, so now has Putin shown a level of
resolution and willingness to adapt his methods to achieve his revised aims.
The Kremlin did indeed believe it could achieve regime change in Kiev, secure the position
of the Donbas separatists and bolster its national security in the Black Sea and along its
western borders. It believed it could do this quickly and with minimal carnage/ damage
......it was wrong. In recent months we have observed a similar level of miscalculation
and folly from the USA/NATO. The economic war unleashed on Russia was calculated to
see its collapse. The re-equiping and expansion of the badly decimated Ukrainian military
was seen as the solution to its military failures ( keep in mind it hasn't only been the
Russians that have had "incompetent" leadership etc.) ... added to that was the infusion
of NATO based training, military planning, access to intelligence and communications
and a gradual build up of forces (especially technical expertise) amongst the ranks of
the Ukrainians. We need to recall the predictions of Russian collapse due to a lack of
munitions, morale and supplies. Predictions of the "Himar's miracle". Predictions of the
Russian population rising up against Putin. Statements coming from Kiev, the Pentagon
and London in June/July predicted a Ukrainian military "victory" , the clearing of Luhansk,
Kherson, the Donets and even Crimea by the winter now upon us and the collapse of
Russia's economy together with massive social unrest ...... they were wrong !
So, is it "fatigue" or is it a gradual realisation that the "wests" folly is as complete as
"Putin's" folly ? Whilst the people of Ukraine are paying in blood and devastation,
the economies of the west are also unravelling, as are the geopolitical alignments
that this conflict was hoped it would create. Is there a gradual realisation that
only a diplomatic outcome will stop this idiotic war .... a war the USA/NATO started,
with the Russian's attacking first !