on March 27, 2023, 4:30 pm
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for March 27, 2023;
* Russian forces are not only encircling the fortified cities of Bakhmut and
Avdeevka, it is increasingly utilizing its military aviation to bomb fortified
positions;
* Increased use of Russian military aviation may indicate an irreversible
deterioration of Ukrainian air defense networks and may continue to expand,
accelerating the demilitarization of Ukraine;
* Ukraine's offensive may be directed toward the south or east, however, Russia
has created extensive defense networks in both directions;
* Because of the West's dwindling stockpiles of weapons and ammunition,
Ukraine's offensive, no matter how successful, will end with Ukraine unable to
sustain military operations or maintain territorial gains;
* Russia bringing in older tanks and makeshift mobile gun platforms may be used
to eliminate weaknesses in Russian defenses, saturating the battlefield with
additional firepower to prevent Ukrainian forces from making it through zones
of fire;
* Russian military industrial output is greater than Ukraine's Western sponsors,
and therefore gives Russia the advantage in shaping the conflict after
Ukraine's offensive ends;
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