The western intel propaganda psyop that commenced before the conflict went hot in early 2022 has effectively inverted the truth of what has actually occurred. And its overriding success has been predicated upon establishing fallacious parameters for interpreting events.
Foremost among those fallacious interpretive parameters has been the degree to which the conquest and retention of territory has been established as THE measure of military success. In relation to this, I strongly recommend my analysis from early July:
Destroying the “Mother of All Proxy Armies” in Ukraine
The Object of War From the moment in early April when Russian forces on the perimeter of Kiev began to withdraw to new positions in eastern Ukraine, western war propagandists have been trumpeting...
Some weeks after I posted that essay, the legendary US Marine General Paul K. Van Riper published an absolutely essential affirming analysis in the Marine Corps Gazette. It is a MUST-READ in relation to these questions:
A Former US Marine Corps Officer's Analysis of the Ukraine War
In addition to being a physical struggle, war is both a mental contest and a moral argument.
During the Battle of Bakhmut, the AFU has outnumbered the attacking Russian forces at least 3 to 1. With only a minority of regular Russian army troops involved, the Wagner PMC and Donbass militia have methodically destroyed numbers far greater than their own.
Of course, it has been Russian artillery and air power inflicting the vast majority of the damage on Ukrainian troops and equipment. Most AFU casualties never even saw a Russian soldier before they were hit. And those who did found themselves consistently outclassed.
And because of the very nature of their tactics, and the relentless firepower they can bring to bear, Russian forces have suffered (as I have noted repeatedly) a minor fraction of the casualties they have inflicted.
All assertions to the contrary are demonstrably false.
Examined with a narrow focus, Russian prosecution of this conflict reveals a few missteps and miscalculations. That is the nature of war. But viewed as a whole, I submit they have attested exceptional strategic discipline and impressive tactical adaptiveness.
And, at this very moment, as the AFU is more depleted and demoralized than at any prior point, Russian forces are at the peak of their strength, armed with better equipment – and more of it – than at any previous stage of the conflict.
The original cadre of Ukrainian professional soldiers and virtually all of their equipment are now long gone.
The much smaller and more poorly equipped AFU/NATO hybrid army has been wrecked over the past four months.
A third army cannot be conjured from the ashes.
Those still in thrall to the myths spawned by this conflict’s peerless propaganda will likely continue, for a time, to cling resolutely to their imaginary war. But no later than the summer solstice, it will have become undeniably evident that it was all just a mirage.