on March 30, 2023, 2:15 pm
experts" as they contemplate an end game in Ukraine...
* CSIS admits crucial weapons and munitions face critical shortages including
* HIMARS launchers, 155mm artillery rounds, anti-aircraft and anti-tank
* missiles; CSIS suggests the US could deplete all of its inventories along with
* Europe into Ukraine to make up for critical shortages or shift to
* "substitutes" despite being inadequate for Ukraine's requirements;
* A recent confab of US foreign policy experts attempted to come to grips with
the coming end game in Ukraine in which they see a Russian victory owed to its
ability to supply more weapons, munitions, and trained manpower;
* Suggestions to turn the tide include sending 1,000 M1 Abrams tanks, creating
(another) foreign legion, and transferring weapons to Ukraine to strike deep
within Russia;
* However these "solutions" range from unrealistic to entirely
counterproductive;
* Ukraine doesn't have the manpower or time to assemble crews for 1,000 M1
Abrams tanks, a foreign legion was already created and already failed, and
striking deep inside Russia will likely only help Moscow justify further
mobilizations;
* Sanctioning China is also considered, with no self-reflection on the flawed
reasoning that led to ineffective sanctions already placed on Russia;
* Only a fundamental change in Washington's premise can a sensible foreign
policy be proposed, one that sees the US cooperating constructively with all
other nations rather than attempting to subjugate all other nations;
References
CSIS - Rebuilding U.S. Inventories: Six Critical Systems (January 2023):
https://www.csis.org/analysis/rebuilding-us-inventories-six-critical-systems
Asia Times - Why Ukraine may embrace China's peace plan (March 20, 2023):
https://asiatimes.com/2023/03/why-ukraine-may-embrace-chinas-peace-plan/
Alexander Mercouris - Russia Pushes Central Bakhmut, Ukraine Evacuates
Avdeyevka, Zelensky meets Army Chiefs; US Fear (March 28, 2023):
youtube.com/watch?v=3UYS10SOa2E&t=1580s
RAND Corporation - Extending Russia (2019):
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html
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