In the Gaza operations so far, and in the ideology which Israeli officials and
journalists are repeating to the western media, the devil aims to drive every
Palestinian, the born and the as yet unborn, to death. In such a war the first
need for Hamas and the Arabs is to survive in order to keep fighting. Nothing is
more sure than the "holy reasons" Shakespeare put into the mouth of Lavatch the
Clown, that surviving to fight the long war will defeat this devil's needs in
the end.
In practical politics, Israel and the US either win their genocidal war swiftly
now, or else they will lose the long war. Russian military sources are reporting
the US is resupplying the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) at a rate of two US Air
Force (USAF) transports every hour, moving from the continental US through bases
in the UK, Germany, Italy, Greece, and Cyprus. US sources have acknowledged the
logistical effort is too great to continue for long. Right now the US Navy and
USAF cannot continue delivering on the promised resupply of the Ukrainian forces
in their war against Russia, while at US bases in Syria and Iraq the Pentagon is
privately evacuating troops while publicly striking at their Arab attackers.
The Arab, Iranian, and Russian media are reporting that in response, Hamas and
Hezbollah are maintaining a frequent rate of fire against IDF and Israeli
territorial targets. They are not yet attacking Israel's offshore gas production
platforms, which provide most of the fuel for the country's electricity
generating plants. They are not yet disabling Israel's ports and airfields. The
Russian military assessment is that for the time being the Hamas and Hezbollah
capacity remains intact and in reserve. The Arab side is exercising restraint.
What then are the needs which must now be addressed by the allies of the
Palestinians, the Arab states, Iran, and then Russia?
On Sunday, Russia officially called this war "the American project". This
followed the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) vote last Friday, October
27, when the US and Israel led a tiny minority in favour of their short war,
including a half-dozen island states sinking slowly into the Pacific Ocean.
A Moscow source confirms the US is the priority Russian target because the IDF
cannot continue in Gaza as the US capabilities exhaust themselves. He believes
that US over-exertion in the Middle East will accelerate the Russian military's
move on to the offensive on the Ukrainian battlefield, and shorten thereby that
war. The public statements for mediation between the warring parties issued by
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and his ministry are not the full Russian story,
the source believes. The first need in Lavrov's mediation, he says, is between
the General Staff and the Kremlin. The second priority is to let the Americans
demonstrate their weakness across the region by conserving the Palestinians in
place, deterring Egyptian and Jordanian concessions, and preventing a direct
attack on Iran. "The real Russian position , not the public statements ,
ultimately comes down to what level of military cooperation the Ministry of
Defense has with Teheran. The Syrian and Ukrainian wars have made this very
deep. I expect the Foreign Ministry's public line will change when the
Palestinian casualties reach 20,000. As the official Israeli statements against
the Russian government already make clear, they know what is going on behind the
scenes. It's not just the Caucasian Muslims now but most Russians feel there's
been enough crying support for Israel. Lavrov will catch up."
"I would say the real work now in Moscow is on ensuring the Americans do not
directly attack Iran. The rest is going to play out according to the General
Staff's road map Lavrov could and should have in front of him. Call it the long
war for short."
-- Cont'd with links to podcast at https://johnhelmer.org/when-the-devil-drives-what-needs-come-first-the-gorilla-radio-podcast-answers/
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