Sydney Freedberg
@SydneyFreedberg
20 Jan 2023

Are you critical of US & NATO policy, or are you actively hoping the Russians will win? And what kind of Russian victory do you want?


Will Schryver
@imetatronink
21 Jan 2023

The absolute best thing that could happen for America is a swift Russian victory that precludes the temptation for the #EmpireAtAllCosts cult to attempt a catastrophic direct US/NATO intervention.

Either way, NATO will cease to be a viable military/political alliance.


Sydney Freedberg
@SydneyFreedberg
21 Jan 2023
Your response & the comments are fascinating. Followup: So do you believe US hegemony & NATO are so dangerous that, to break them, it’s worth having an authoritarian Russia devastate Ukraine, kill tens of thousands of people, & displace millions? If the answer is yes: Why?

Will Schryver
@imetatronink
21 Jan 2023
Replying to @SydneyFreedberg
Response🧵

That's a pretty mediocre strawman construction.

In any case, I never suggested the US/NATO are "dangerous" -- except to themselves and Ukraine.

NATO built its Mother of All Proxy Armies in Ukraine to harm Russia, which has responded by destroying it.

1/12


The original, very formidable AFU was wrecked by July. The second, much smaller and more poorly equipped NATO/AFU hybrid army has now been wrecked, necessitating this current attempt to cobble together a third, which will be substantially weaker than the previous two.

2/

The Russians wrecked the first two armies with one hand tied behind their back. Now they have mobilized, equipped, and trained 300k reservists + ~100k new volunteers. In total, they have close to 500k uncommitted troops poised to move when Gerasimov gives the order.

3/

From the moment in early February 2022 when the AFU concentrated its forces and commenced its artillery preparation to attack the Donbass, this war became existential for all parties involved – Russia, NATO, and Ukraine. Its inevitable outcome should now be clear to all.

4/

The only question left unanswered is at what point the US/NATO will come to grips with that inevitable outcome, and cease its self-destructive (and murderous, to Ukraine) insanity in a desperate bid to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.

5/

The greatest danger is posed by the #EmpireAtAllCosts cult in Washington and London. If those fools succeed in persuading their political leaders to sanction direct military intervention into this war, it will prove catastrophic, and very possibly result in nuclear war.

6/

Those who believe direct US intervention in this war can turn its tide are militarily clueless idiots. As I have repeatedly argued, the US could not win and must not fight a war against Russia in eastern Europe.

7/

Aside from the crazy Poles and the impotent Baltic chihuahuas, no other European NATO members will join an Anglo-American intervention in Ukraine. And even if they did, they could not sustain high-intensity warfare for more than about 6 weeks.

8/

This would then place them on the horns of an even worse dilemma than they face right now: withdraw in humiliation, or destroy western civilization by resorting to nuclear strikes against Russia.

9/

Expanding NATO towards Russia’s borders over the past quarter century was a HUGE strategic blunder. Russia was impotent for many years to do much about it, but they aren’t anymore. Now they demand NATO return to its 1997 borders – and they mean it.

10/

For reasons that go far beyond this war in Ukraine, American global hegemony is over.

As a result of this war, NATO will cease as a viable alliance.

China, Russia, and Iran will become dominant in their respective spheres of influence.

A multipolar world has returned.

11/

The United States must choose to accept these inexorable realities and refocus on domestic concerns, or destroy itself in a futile attempt to forestall the inevitable.

12/end

https://nitter.poast.org/imetatronink/status/1616851929115811840#m