on January 18, 2025, 2:35 pm, in reply to "Re: A mere hiatus...so as not to distract from the Trump coronation..."
Ben Shapiro
@benshapiro
Jan 15
Notes on the hostage deal:
1. It is a hostage deal, NOT an end of war deal. Phase I allows for the release of 33 hostages; it is not clear how many are alive, but some reports suggest 23.
2. Again, the ceasefire is almost certainly temporary. It is not a permanent end to the war. Phase II is, in my opinion, highly unlikely ever to materialize given how many hostages Hamas retains and given that Hamas will never disarm or agree to exile.
3. The deal does not force Israel to alter deployment along the Philadelphi Corridor (border between Gaza and Egypt).
So, what does all of this mean?
First, that some hostages will come home alive. This is an unmitigated good. It would have been excellent to get more hostages out, but that option was presumably unavailable given Hamas' radical intransigence and the waning health of many of the hostages.
Second, that the war will continue until Hamas has no control over Gaza. Trump's nominees have said as much; so has the Israeli government.
The Trump team squared this circle.
The Biden team undoubtedly wanted a permanent end to the conflict as a condition of hostage release. Team Trump presumably told Hamas that wasn't going to happen, and that this was the best deal they were likely to get.
Jan 15, 2025 · 6:52 PM UTC
https://nitter.poast.org/benshapiro/status/1879602625420705985#m
- The US and Israel can't be trusted to stick to any agreement: the bombing will resume as soon as they have taken some advantage. This will of course all be the fault of Hamas... the media will sing in chorus...and the Zios will double down on The mass murder with brand new consignments of US "freedom" bombs.
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