https://web.archive.org/web/20070630210902/http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/
Anybody else visit? Strong on the doom but informative. Rhis was probably aware of it, being another MLMBer who would occasionally write about this particular conundrum that mass society was going to have to deal with fairly imminently. Looks like the 'long descent' scenario is most likely, but likely to be a v bumpy ride (with still the possibility of falling off the 'Seneca Cliff' - https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/2030-our-runaway-train-falls-off ) Re-reading Ozzy permaculture guru David Holmgren's 2008 offering on 'future scenarios' at the moment. Prescient in a lot of ways but overly optimistic about the ability of groovy eco-types getting together and successfully altering the course of systemic inertia that has been building for millennia:
https://www.futurescenarios.org/
He updated his thinking with the 2013 essay 'Crash on Demand' which had a much more pessimistic - or realistic - outlook, and explored the heretical idea that it might be possible, even desirable to precipitate a crash of the financial system in order to avert destruction of the climate and speed the transition to a sane & sustainable way of living : https://holmgren.com.au/writing/crash-demand/ Don't remember the exact proposals but I think it was fairly tame, mainly middle class greenies withdrawing from the consumer economy and that would break the system... somehow.
Anyway, peak oil was never going to go away. I'm amazed that fracking and tar sands have kept things stumbling on as long as they have. I guess you have to look at the cannibalising of the rest of the real economy to see the effects of it, as sheep guy skilfully points out. I worry about how people are going to deal with it, just looking at normal people and listening to the stupid sh!t they talk about. They no longer inhabit the real world - how on earth are they going to cope when it comes crashing back into their lives? "Deal With Reality or Reality Will Deal With You" indeed... or another quote I remember from that time which noted the cruel irony that the further along civilisation goes with its project of de-skilling and fostering abject dependency in the populace, the more it becomes the case that 'those most likely to face a hard crash will be those least capable of dealing with it' (heavy paraphrase).
Tain't gonna be pretty...
cheers,
I
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