https://nitter.net/Intel_Sky/status/2014042218097439045
21 Jan 2026 · 6:27 PM UTC

The US Fleet Vanishes, Israel Blinds GPS, and the "Final Decision" Plane Lands
in Tel Aviv.
Situation Analysis (18:05 GMT - 21:35 Tehran Time, Wednesday, January 21):
NOTAM Status: Zero Change.

This represents the most dangerous type of "stability." Complete stasis in
NOTAMs implies the theater has been frozen in its current posture, with no
intention to modify plans or conduct new drills.
The indicators currently in my possession (ADS-B platforms entering a recession,
GPS jamming, and VIP movements) paint the final scene before the storm:

1. The Great Vanishing
* The Intel: "There is currently no visible US movement on ADS-B networks
(Tankers have disappeared, and there is a scarcity of military cargo)."
* The Analysis: In military terms, this is called "Dark Mode." When transport
fleets and tankers suddenly vanish from civilian applications, it does not mean
they have stopped; rather, they have entered the operational airspace and
switched off their transponders to avoid detection and targeting.
* This absolute silence is the major sign that tactical operations are
commencing. The tankers are in the sky right now, but they do not want to be
seen refueling the bombers.

2. Arrival of the "Last Envoy" (SAM986) in Tel Aviv
* The Aircraft: The B737 SAM986 is a US Air Force aircraft (C-40 Clipper) used
to transport VIPs, members of Congress, or Special Envoys.
* The Timing: Its arrival in Tel Aviv now, amidst this tension, coming from
Tampa (CENTCOM Headquarters), signifies one of two things:
* Delivering the final "Order of Operations" and coordinating face-to-face with
the Israeli command (away from comms that could be intercepted).
* Evacuating families of diplomats or high-ranking US figures before the
bombardment begins.

3. GPS Jamming in the North: "Electronic Blindness"
* The Location: Northern Israel.
* The Reason: Israel is engaging in intensive "Spoofing" of GPS signals to
prevent Cruise missiles and Iranian drones (which rely on GPS) from hitting
their targets accurately. This defensive measure is only undertaken on this
scale when a very imminent attack is expected.

4. Iranian Government Aircraft (EP-IGD): Flight to the Bunker
* The Route: Bushehr \rightarrow Tehran.
* The Aircraft: Airbus A321 (EP-IGD) is a VIP aircraft for the Iranian
Government (Meraj Airlines).
* The Implication: Moving senior officials from Bushehr (home to the nuclear
reactor and power plant) to Tehran (the capital fortified with air defenses) may
be an evacuation of leadership from the primary "Danger Zone" (coastal and
nuclear areas) to bunkers in the capital.

Field Summary (Wednesday Evening):
We have entered the phase of "Total Fog":
* In the Air: The US Fleet is "Invisible" (Dark Mode).
* In Israel: Widespread GPS jamming (anticipating missiles from the direction of
Lebanon).
* In Iran: Evacuation of leadership from Bushehr.
* In Tel Aviv: Arrival of the CENTCOM envoy (SAM986).

Assessment:
There is no longer any "preparation." We are now in the minutes following the
decision and preceding the execution. The arrival of SAM986 may well be the
"last visit" before the airspace is closed for war.