- Every little bit of Tory friendly prop helps. This is on the LBC website. Archived Message
Posted by Mary
on December 6, 2019, 8:48 am
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Sir John Curtice's election forecast: Seven days to go "I think one prediction was quite enough last time. What I would say is it's very clear where we are. If the polls are at all right, there is about a 70% chance the Conservatives will get the overall majority they need. "The 10-point lead they currently have in the polls will be adequate if it translates to the ballot boxes. But if the lead turns out not to be more than 6%, then we get into a world where there is a 50% chance of a hung parliament. "That is because Boris Johnson has got to get a majority if he's going to get his Withdrawal Agreement through - and probably even if he's going to remain Prime Minister. He's not sufficiently far ahead of where he needs to be that he can assume it's in the bag.' Polling expert Sir John Curtice updates his General Election prediction Updated: 5 December 2019, 15:04 https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/shelagh-fogarty/polling-expert-john-curtice-election-prediction/ |
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