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    Not sure I agree with his basis thesis - Archived Message

    Posted by David Macilwain on January 18, 2020, 10:34 pm, in reply to "Soleimani Fallout Continues to Produce Diplomatic Dividends for Russia"

    That killing Soleimani was some idiot move by Trump that has jolted both the main co-conspirators - the UK and Israel - to pull back. Israel took a leading role in assassinating QS, which can only be seen as intended to inflame the region into all out war where all else failed. It was also the culmination of the contrived Gulf tanker crisis.
    Now that the Ukie plane crash has been brought in to further accelerate the crisis, and turn the reluctant EU states against Iran over the nuclear deal, any idea this belligerence is going to fade away is mistaken; they are merely biding their time.

    But there is something bigger also going on with the Oil and Gas business at the heart of it - the argument over Libya-Turkey-Italy vs Greece-Israel-US with gas in the Med, vying with the opening of Turkstream in which Bulgaria is now the surprise partner of Russia in SE Europe. In addition the US just pushed China to take some of its high-emissions expensive LNG, which will replace some of Australia's exports. I think CHina is hoping to drive a wedge between the US and its deputy regional bulldog Australia - which itself has gone out of its way to upset China such that diplomatic relations are virtually suspended.
    Also I think Gazprom settled scores with Ukraine and will now begin selling gas into and through Ukraine again.
    All that is left is for the US to force blackmail and bludgeon Europe to get what it wants on the whole M/E.

    I hope there will be some sparks at the Berlin conference, and more in Munich in a couple of weeks - though not enough to cause a conflagration...maybe another false flag...

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