- Simplicius: NATO Plans for Ukraine Leaked Archived Message
Posted by sashimi
on April 8, 2023, 6:39 am
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(quote) But before we dive in, a few contextualizing words. Firstly, despite the absolute authenticity of the documents at first glance, several things should be said as a precursor. 1. The initial copies which circulated all over Telegram were altered by [presumably] a Russian source who changed (photoshopped) the 'Losses' data, however original versions have now been found. (more on this later) 2. One obvious consideration is that this leak could be a mass deliberate maskirovka campaign by NATO/U.S. to fool Russia with seemingly authentic information on the offensive, which would intentionally steer Russian defenses in the wrong direction, etc. So bear these considerations in mind. Yes, there is still a possibility that it is basically disinfo. Particularly because the timing of the leaked release so "conveniently" falls right on the eve of the big AFU offensive. Reuters claims the following:  Previous MessageRussia or pro-Russian elements are likely behind the leak of several classified US military documents posted on social media, Reuters reported. However, there are certain extenuating circumstances that heavily point to the leaks being real. Which are namely that: there is apparently a much larger trove of leaked data that is floating around, in fact most of it is not even related to Russia / Ukraine and is in fact much more serious and 'sensitive' as per U.S. sources, as it pertains to highly secretive internal transmissions regarding China, the Middle East, and more. You can read about it on this new NYTimes article. And secondly, there are a lot of pieces of info in the leaks which wouldn't make logical sense in revealing if it was simple disinfo. For instance, revealing how many NATO/Western spy/intel assets are operating in Ukraine, etc. Such things only serve as evidence for Russia of U.S./West's collusion an secret provocations/escalations, and serve as future legal proof of the West being the antagonist and initiator in the conflict, which gives Russia major legal and geopolitical advantages. That to me is too big of an oversight. Also, the fact that much of it paints Russia in a favorable light, in terms of the pure numbers. If it was a deliberate leak, one would think they would sneak in some embarrassing or discrediting info about the Russian military, to paint it unfavorably, at least to some extent. Why let the world know how low Russia's losses really are, for instance? I'm partial to believing the flipside of the coin, which is that it was leaked on the eve of the offensive by disgruntled internal NATO employees wishing to sabotage the operation. Although it could be 'part of the plan', I don't think the Biden admin would go so hard in trying to scrub the data off the internet if it were a real disinfo campaign. And lastly, very little in the leak is actually 'surprising' or unknown information because much of it very accurately reflects all the projections that those of us who are on the ball have been making, and so it serves more as a confirmation of known facts. If it were true disinfo, I would expect that it would have some 'surprising' shocks that we didn't anticipate, which would attempt to steer our analysis in some deflected direction, but it in fact confirms everything we've been seeing and reporting in many significant ways. (/quote) -- Cont'd at https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/major-nato-plans-for-ukraine-leaked |
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