- Simplicius: First Leg of AFU's Offensive Has Begun Archived Message
- Simplicius: First Leg of AFU's Offensive Has Begun - sashimi June 8, 2023, 3:32 am
- Mikael Valtersson: Battle of Kursk Redux - sashimi June 8, 2023, 10:02 am
Posted by sashimi
on June 8, 2023, 3:32 am
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Today is the first day we can probably say the offensive has truly begun in the sense that Ukraine has launched large maneuver attacks in exactly the primary directions long-predicted as being at the heart of the offensive. Yesterday's push much farther east near Velyka Novosilka had long been forecasted as the 'diversionary' direction, and today they struck the true direction right under Orekhov where for a long time their main force buildup was observed by Russian recon/intel units. With the large NATO Air Defender exercises - called 'the largest ever' - set to begin on June 12, we can only assume that today was the opening act of what's meant to be a ramp up that will crescendo during the exercises in less than a week. Presumably, Kiev is timing it to make initial breakthroughs from now til then, and then inject their much larger reserve force into the breakthrough zone right at the time of the exercises to achieve a truly triumphal propaganda syzygy. But, judging by today's results, that syzygy is more a zugzwang. Russian forces dealt a crushing blow to AFU's meat-vanguard. Let's break down how it happened in detail; however, before that, first let's update a few things about the last advance over the past couple days on Zaporozhye's eastern flank. -- Cont'd at https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/first-leg-of-afus-offensive-has-begun |
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