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    Simplicius - SITREP 5 August 2023: Projecting the Intermediate Future Archived Message

    Posted by sashimi on August 7, 2023, 7:37 am

    6 Aug 2023

    There aren't a whole lot of significant battlefield updates just yet, so I
    wanted to take this time to project what the medium-term future will look like
    based on Ukraine and the West's signaled plans for the next 6 months and more.

    But first, let's summarize roughly where things stand, particularly vis a vis
    the grand summer 'offensive' so that we're all on the same page as to where the
    conflict currently stands narratively.

    Early this year, Ukraine began to outfit two separate 'army corps' of maneuver
    brigades specifically for the coming 'counter-offensive'. These were the 9th
    Corps and the 10th Corps. The 9th Corps was meant to be the - mostly -
    NATO-armed and trained one which was famously revealed in the Pentagon leaks. It
    consisted of the 9 named maneuver brigades, which were the 116th, 47th, 33rd,
    21st, 32nd, 37th, 118th, 117th, and the 82nd air assault.

    Out of these, the 47th was said to be the most elite, cobbled from all
    'volunteers' who signed up specifically from other units and were trained in the
    UK and were armed with 99 x M2A2 Bradleys as well as American M109 Paladins for
    artillery.

    The role of the two army corps was that the 9th was meant to be the breakthrough
    brigade which reached the first 'main line of defense', the notorious ones with
    dragon teeth that Russia spent months constructing. Upon reaching this line, the
    10th Corps was meant to be the 'breakthrough' force which then took over for the
    9th, pouring in another fresh 9-12 brigades through the gap to create an
    unstoppable opening.
    -- Cont'd at https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-8523-projecting-the-intermediate

    Message Thread:

    • Simplicius - SITREP 5 August 2023: Projecting the Intermediate Future - sashimi August 7, 2023, 7:37 am