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    But a ceasefire in the Iran/Israel conflict is not necessarily asymmetric … 📂 Archived Message

    Posted by Shyaku on June 24, 2025, 5:57 pm, in reply to "Berletic: Iranians duped....again!"

    Russia can secure its own internal security and airspace, Iran cannot, apparently. This is a problem Iran could use the ceasefire to try to solve. They can also manufacture 300 of their most modern missiles per month purportedly, if this has not been degraded and if it can be done covertly.

    Symmetrically, Israel can stock up on anti-ballistics but it seems unlikely they can defend against the most modern Iranian missiles if the latter are hypersonic in the terminal phase - this would require a technological jump.

    So a ceasefire here is not necessarily asymmetric, as the Russia/Ukraine one would have been.

    Meanwhile, the fact Israel took out Iraqi radars at the very end, probably means Israel envisages going in again.

    - Shyaku

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