Re: Russia won't allow Nato members on its borders. What about Finland? 📂 Archived Message
Posted by Shyaku on August 22, 2025, 9:37 pm, in reply to "Russia won't allow Nato members on its borders. What about Finland?"
NATO is spread right across Russia’s western border if you include the unitary state (Belarus). When Russia started removing the threat from Ukraine, NATO successfully absorbed Finland. I think Russia’s response was “OK, we will take the necessary measures” and they reconstituted some northern guards/tank army in response. It wasn’t a great day for Russia, but Russian concern rises when troops actually move towards the border. This had actually happened in Ukraine, and I recall a quote from early on in the SMO (perhaps from The Saker’s site): If Barbarossa had started from the Donbass instead of western Ukraine, the invading army would have reached Stalingrad in 3 days. [and probably taken Stalingrad given the invading strength]. Instead of > 1 year. My feeling is that if the NATO-grade army in Donbass had swept up the DNR and LNR in March 2022 as planned, they would likely have swept around and through a slice Russian territory behind the Donbass to complete the encirclement, and also as a humiliation, then kept it as a buffer zone. The immediate threat seems quite compelling. In Finland, there is no such provocation ongoing as far as I am aware, though there will likely be pin pricks in the future. Hope that helps a bit. Best regards, Shyaku
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