on July 5, 2024, 1:30 am, in reply to "S/he's gorn fest due, say exit polls. nm"
Calculations based on the exit poll suggest that Labour will secure just 36 per cent of the vote despite a projected 170-seat majority.
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Mr Corbyn, the former Labour leader, won 40 per cent of the vote when he led the party into the 2017 election, which he lost to Theresa May’s Conservative Party.
The exit poll predicted that Sir Keir will win 410 seats in a landslide victory, with the Tories reduced to just 131 MPs in their worst ever result.
Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, is projected to win 13 constituencies whilst the Liberal Democrats are predicted to enjoy a resurgence with 61 seats.
But the huge expected margin of Labour’s victory in parliamentary numbers may mask a poorer than expected performance in terms of vote share.
Projections based on the exit poll, carried out by Electoral Calculus for GB News, suggested that the party could end up on just 36.1 per cent of the vote.
Meanwhile, the Conservatives are calculated to have secured 25.8 per cent, while Reform is put in third on 17.2 per cent despite likely only winning a handful of seats.
In stark contrast the Liberal Democrats, who have made huge inroads in Parliament, are only projected to have won 9.4 per cent of the vote.
Rory Stewart, a former Tory Cabinet minister, told Channel 4: “Labour may well have got a staggering majority with quite a low percentage of the vote.
“Reform may have ended up with quite a high percentage of the vote and a low number of seats. The Lib Dems might have got fewer votes and five times the number of seats.”
When the result was described on the programme as a “loveless landslide” he said: “I think it’s a big problem – 36 per cent of the vote in historical terms has been nothing.
“Nobody has won anything like this in history with 36 per cent of the vote. This is barely more than a third of the population voting for you.”
‘Electoral geography’ led to big win despite low vote share
Sir Keir’s projected share of the vote would be the lowest required to secure any parliamentary majority in recent times...
When Sir Tony Blair won his 179-seat majority against the Tories in 1997, he did so on the back of a 43.2 per cent share of the vote.
Boris Johnson won an 80-seat majority with 43.6 per cent at the last election in 2019, while David Cameron required 36.9 per cent in 2015 to secure a 10-seat majority...
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/starmer-s-victory-dubbed-a-loveless-landslide-with-fewer-votes-than-corbyn/ar-BB1pqWaz
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So...going by the exit polls Starmer wins big on 4% less than Corbyn who actually lost... what gives? It's got to have been the redrawn constituency boundaries of which 90% have changed:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-57400901