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on January 20, 2026, 4:45 pm
20 Jan 2026 · 4:23 PM UTC
"Lincoln" Goes Dark and Enters "Ghost Mode," Britain Pushes Typhoons
East... Have the Final 72 Hours Begun?
The new report (16:00 GMT - 19:30 Tehran time) carries ominous implications when
correlated with your data regarding the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln.
Field Status: Total Blackout
* At Sea: The USS Abraham Lincoln has deactivated its Automatic Identification
System (AIS) and entered "Ghost Mode."
* In the Air: Iran continues to "clear" its airspace, removing the final firing
NOTAM (B0844/25), which expired just a short while ago.
Here is the strategic reading of this alarming synchronization:
1. "Total Silence" at Sea (EMCON Alpha)
When a Carrier Strike Group (CSG) deactivates its AIS transponders in a
congested region like the Strait of Malacca or the Arabian Sea, it signifies
entry into Emission Control (EMCON) status.
* The Objective: To vanish from hostile radar screens and commercial satellites,
preventing Iran from pinpointing its exact location for ballistic missile
targeting.
* The Timing: If the carrier is due to reach the Arabian Sea within 72 hours,
"going dark" now indicates that it considers itself within a "war zone"
effective immediately. It is now in an offensive posture, not a transit posture.
2. Arrival of Typhoon Fighters: The British Build-up
The deployment of four British Typhoon fighters (Ascot Flight) heading southeast
confirms direct British engagement in the operation.
* The Role: The Typhoon excels in Air Superiority. Their deployment suggests the
allies anticipate the Iranian Air Force will scramble jets to intercept the
attack; the Typhoons are there to neutralize them and protect US bombers.
3. The Iranian NOTAM: Opening the Door to the "Unknown"
The removal of the final firing NOTAM (B0844/25) indicates that Iran has
concluded all its declared training schedules for the day.
* The Conclusion: Iranian skies tonight (January 20) and tomorrow (January 21)
are completely "clean" of any declared military activity.
* The Interpretation: This total silence in the NOTAMs aligns with the "calm
before the storm." Iran knows the fleets are approaching, so it has halted
training to pivot toward actual combat monitoring.
The Expected Scenario for the Next 72 Hours
We are entering a phase of "Blindness and Anticipation":
* Sea: We will not know the location of the Abraham Lincoln until it launches
its aircraft (or until the Pentagon announces it).
* Air: British and American fighters have massed in Jordan and the Gulf.
* Land: Iran has ceased exercises and is waiting.
The attack may commence before the Carrier reaches its final position in the
Arabian Sea.
Long-range bombers (B-1B, B-52) and fighters already positioned in the region
(F-15Es in Jordan) do not require the carrier to initiate the "First Wave" of
strikes. The carrier may arrive later to provide "Sustained Support."
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