"Lincoln" Goes Dark and Enters "Ghost Mode," Britain Pushes Typhoons East... Have the Final 72 Hours Begun?
The new report (16:00 GMT - 19:30 Tehran time) carries ominous implications when correlated with your data regarding the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln.
Field Status: Total Blackout * At Sea: The USS Abraham Lincoln has deactivated its Automatic Identification System (AIS) and entered "Ghost Mode." * In the Air: Iran continues to "clear" its airspace, removing the final firing NOTAM (B0844/25), which expired just a short while ago.
Here is the strategic reading of this alarming synchronization:
1. "Total Silence" at Sea (EMCON Alpha) When a Carrier Strike Group (CSG) deactivates its AIS transponders in a congested region like the Strait of Malacca or the Arabian Sea, it signifies entry into Emission Control (EMCON) status. * The Objective: To vanish from hostile radar screens and commercial satellites, preventing Iran from pinpointing its exact location for ballistic missile targeting. * The Timing: If the carrier is due to reach the Arabian Sea within 72 hours, "going dark" now indicates that it considers itself within a "war zone" effective immediately. It is now in an offensive posture, not a transit posture.
2. Arrival of Typhoon Fighters: The British Build-up The deployment of four British Typhoon fighters (Ascot Flight) heading southeast confirms direct British engagement in the operation. * The Role: The Typhoon excels in Air Superiority. Their deployment suggests the allies anticipate the Iranian Air Force will scramble jets to intercept the attack; the Typhoons are there to neutralize them and protect US bombers.
3. The Iranian NOTAM: Opening the Door to the "Unknown" The removal of the final firing NOTAM (B0844/25) indicates that Iran has concluded all its declared training schedules for the day. * The Conclusion: Iranian skies tonight (January 20) and tomorrow (January 21) are completely "clean" of any declared military activity. * The Interpretation: This total silence in the NOTAMs aligns with the "calm before the storm." Iran knows the fleets are approaching, so it has halted training to pivot toward actual combat monitoring.
The Expected Scenario for the Next 72 Hours We are entering a phase of "Blindness and Anticipation": * Sea: We will not know the location of the Abraham Lincoln until it launches its aircraft (or until the Pentagon announces it). * Air: British and American fighters have massed in Jordan and the Gulf. * Land: Iran has ceased exercises and is waiting. The attack may commence before the Carrier reaches its final position in the Arabian Sea. Long-range bombers (B-1B, B-52) and fighters already positioned in the region (F-15Es in Jordan) do not require the carrier to initiate the "First Wave" of strikes. The carrier may arrive later to provide "Sustained Support."
From Kermanshah to the Mediterranean: Missiles Move, the "Lincoln" Disappears, and Israel Prepares
Comprehensive Analysis of New NOTAM Data (18:49 GMT - 10:19 PM Tehran & Tel Aviv time, January 20) Linked with urgent field reports.
The situation now exceeds mere "readiness." What we are witnessing in the NOTAMs (Notice to Air Missions) and in the sky are "last-minute measures" prior to direct engagement.
1. Tehran: Total Sky Clearance (Zero Hour Mode) The new file confirms that Iran continues to fully "clean" its military schedule. * New Cancellations: Two additional NOTAMs (B0873/25 and A3380/25) regarding firing drills and danger zones (OID126), which were valid until this evening, have been removed. * The Result: As of 18:30 UTC today, Iran's airspace is completely free of any declared training activity. * Analysis: This "digital silence" coincides with terrifying precision with reports regarding the movement of ballistic missile platforms in Kermanshah and Garmsar. Iran does not want any training aircraft in the air because it may begin launching actual war missiles at any moment, and it requires zero interference on its radars.
2. Tel Aviv: "Panic Drills" Conversely, the Israeli NOTAM file and news reports indicate a state of military hysteria: * Mock Raids: The report by "Hadashot" regarding mock attacks on empty areas is an accurate description of "live simulation drills." The Israeli Air Force is currently conducting a "rehearsal" to intercept an Iranian attack expected tonight or tomorrow. * Suspicious Flight Activity: Heavy air traffic over the West Bank (Israel's eastern line of defense) indicates that fighter jets are in Combat Air Patrol (CAP) mode to intercept any missiles incoming from Jordan or Iraq.
3. Trump's Message: "The Weekend" The leak of Trump's message ("We will finish all preparations by the weekend") is part of the deception we warned about. * If he says "the weekend," expect the strike tonight, tomorrow, or at any hour. * The goal of the message is to lull Iran into relaxing for a few extra days. In reality, the USS Abraham Lincoln has gone dark (lights out/silent mode), British Typhoons are airborne, and Iran itself has cleared its skies tonight - not for the weekend.
Field Summary (Evening of January 20) We are facing a "complete alignment" between digital indicators and field movements: * Iran: Has withdrawn all training (NOTAM is empty) and moved its offensive missiles (Kermanshah). * Israel: Is conducting "last-minute" maneuvers over the sea and the West Bank. * USA: Its carrier is silent and in attack posture.
Assessment: The movement of missile platforms in Kermanshah (Western Iran) indicates they are targeting Israel (Medium Range). The movements in Garmsar (East of Tehran) may involve hypersonic missiles (Fattah) intended to strike US bases or distant Israeli defenses.
The coming hours are critical; fingers are on the triggers on both sides.
8 Refueling Aircraft Pave the Path for the "Ghost" (B-2) to Spain... The Offensive Triangle is Complete.
This update is the "smoking gun" we have been waiting for to confirm the third leg of the offensive triangle (Strategic Bombers). What we are witnessing now is not a routine movement, but a massive "Tanker Wave" (8 KC-135 aircraft launching simultaneously) heading East. In standard military practice, mobilizing this number of tankers at once serves only two purposes: either transporting a full fighter squadron (a Coronet Mission) or supporting the trans-oceanic crossing of strategic bombers.
Here is the analysis of this "Wave" and how it confirms the B-2 Spirit scenario:
1. Confirmation of "The Morón Track" The confirmation that 4 aircraft (RCH037, 038, 039, 040) are heading exclusively to Morón Air Base (Morón AB) in Spain is the most critical development. * Why Morón? As previously discussed, this base acts as the primary "gas station" used by B-2 Spirit stealth bombers when deploying from their home base in Missouri (Whiteman AFB) to strike targets in the Middle East and return non-stop. * Military Math: A single B-2 bomber typically requires multiple refueling operations to reach its target and return. Allocating 4 tankers to this specific track suggests that a pair (2) or a flight (4) of B-2s is currently en route (or preparing to launch) directly behind these tankers.
2. The Ghost Pack The other 4 tankers (RCH800 and the rest) heading East with an "Unknown" destination likely serve a specific tactical function: * Extending the Bridge: They may be headed to Lajes Field in the Azores (mid-Atlantic) or Mildenhall in the UK. * The Objective: To create a continuous "fuel supply chain" across the Atlantic and the Mediterranean. This ensures that bombers (and escort fighters) find fuel available at any point along the route, guaranteeing they arrive over Iran with full tanks, ready for combat maneuvering.
3. The Full Map (The Attack Architecture) Based on this update, the three axes of the attack are now complete: * From the East (Indian Ocean): The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group (waiting silently for orders). * From the Center (Jordan/Gulf): F-15E and A-10 aircraft (ready to engage defenses and mechanized units). * From the West (USA): B-2 Strategic Bombers (supported by the wave of 8 tankers currently detected).
Urgent Conclusion: "Everything is heading East" is the summary of the situation. The United States has activated the "Strategic Air Bridge." These tankers are the "batteries" that will power the American war machine over Tehran. Watch the coming hours. If these tankers suddenly disappear from radar over the Atlantic, know that they have begun the operation to refuel the stealth bombers, and the timing of the strike is effectively at hand.