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on January 24, 2026, 8:40 pm, in reply to "Shivan Mahendrarajah - Trump balked but war is inevitable: Will Iran attack first?"
And now today, the US is confronting Iran b/c of Israel. There's no other reason
for it.
So, if we were to look at this from a rational perspective, the US would not go
to war w/ Iran b/c there's a sort of MAD here.
The global economy, if it goes downhill, the US cannot sustain a war w/ Iran. It
would be over very swiftly b/c the US economy would collapse and so would those
across the world, and you'd have millions of people on the move, from Latin
America, Africa - it would be devastating.
But b/c of Israel, b/c of the Israeli regime, Washington would quite possibly
sacrifice the US economy to do what the Zionists want them to do.
Right now behind the scenes nothing is happening. There are no negotiations
between Iran and the US, the reason being that the US has put preconditions on
negotiations that Iran says are simply unacceptable. Messages do go back and
forth and Iran has said in those messages that you should expect all out
war. Why? B/c an attack on Iran would be an existential threat, and there is no
room for Iran to do anything but carry out an all out assault.
And the countries in the region, none of them are going to stand w/ Iran just as
they never stood with the Palestinian people except for the Axis of
Resistance. And that I think is important, very important b/c first of all Yemen
today is much stronger than it was a few months ago. It has also been preparing
itself for the next phase of war. Then there's Iraq. After the elections, we saw
that allies of the resistance, they won the elections. They've done far better
in the recent parliamentary elections than they did in the past. And the Iraqis
are not going to sit back and allow the US to carry out an assault on Iran b/c
ultimately they know that next on the list would be Iraq and regime change in
Iraq. So the US is vulnerable across the board.
Iran and its allies are preparing themselves for a worst case scenario. But I
think that if there is war, the US will will be defeated. I believe that it will
be devastating for everyone. But I believe that countries like the Emirates and
Qatar and these Arab dictatorships, they'll all fall and they'll collapse. And I
think that in Iraq probably all Westerners should leave now. And in the Persian
Gulf region, I think that everyone should leave. Anyone who can leave should
leave b/c if there is war, these places will have no future. So hopefully we
won't go there. But as I said, the US is not a rational actor. Trump is not a
rational actor. And so everything is possible.
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