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    Re: Brexit Poll Archived Message

    Posted by dovetailjoint on February 7, 2019, 6:48 pm, in reply to "Re: Brexit Poll"

    Supposedly, in normal times, which these are clearly not; Labour should be ahead of the Tories by 10% or 15%. I think this poll overestimates the Tory lead. A lot can happen during the election campaign, as it did last time. If the Manchester bombing hadn't happened, leading to a break, Labour would probably have caught up with the Tories and 'won.'

    Corbyn has many faults, no, that's not right. He lacks certain qualities, but he has others; like tactical ability and a quite determination. He isn't a colourful leader and perhaps that's what's needed now, someone who's at least competent and sees a little beyond their own self-interest.

    One has to remember that Brexit, the Referendum wasn't called by Labour. It's not their baby. It was called because of deep cracks in the Conservative Party and Cameron thought it was good way of asserting his 'centerist' stance and crushing the Tory rightwing for a generation. Only it didn't work out that way.

    Since then Brexit has been about keeping the ascendent Tory nationalist rightwing in the party and stopping a split, which might destroy the Tories and lead to a complete realignment of British politics. Essentially May has been fighting to hold the Tory Party together over the last two or so, and not really negotiating with Europe at all. The primary objective hasn't been Brexit on good terms, but Brexit that would satisfy the Tory Party's nationalist rightwing and the DUP. And as we get closer to the date, this strategy becomes all there is. Party before country. Class before everyone else and keeping Labour and Corbyn out of Downing Street. The rest is just political theatre.

    Corbyn is playing his hand intelligently now. Proposing a customs union that pretty much has the backing of an awful lot of MP's, probably a majority. Corbyn is now closer to the rest of Europe than May is. This is significant, because it could mean a very, very, soft Brexit with as little structural damage to the economy as possible.

    May's task now is to stop Parliament voting for Labour's plan at all costs, because if a majority voted for it, the majority that's against a hard, destructive, Brexit... her party splits and the nationalist right lose their position of power and influence.

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