Ventusky GFS shows the hurricane well off shore Saturday 12 pm.
https://www.ventusky.com/?p=18.7;-104.7;5&l=gust&t=20230701/1200&m=gfs&w=0xIAb9A9A
Ventusky ICON shows the hurricane going ashore South of us Saturday 6 am.
https://www.ventusky.com/?p=19.1;-107.2;5&l=gust&t=20230701/1200&m=icon&w=0xIAb9A9A
The 4 am discussion section of NOAA says
"While the models generally agree with this scenario,
there are important differences among them on how close Beatriz will
get to the coast of Mexico. The GFS and the HWRF are on the left
side of the guidance envelope and keep the center a significant
distance offshore. On the other hand, the ECMWF, the UKMET, and the
Canadian models all bring the center onshore in western Mexico in
24-36 h. The early part of the new track forecast keeps the center
just offshore of the coast through 36 h as a blend of the previous
forecast and the HFIP Corrected Consensus model. However, any
motion to the right of the track would result in Beatriz making
landfall in Mexico."
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP2+shtml/300833.shtml?
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