Re: 12 US COVID Field Hospitals Constructed at $532 Million Are Standing Down Having Treated 82 Patients Archived Message
Posted by dan on May 9, 2020, 5:58 am, in reply to "12 US COVID Field Hospitals Constructed at $532 Million Are Standing Down Having Treated 82 Patients"
I was very briefly involved in planning discussion of nightingale before I was ill. There are 2000 ICU beds in london. Once there are 100 patients in ICU, with a doubling time of 3 days you are 2 weeks from having no icu beds left and because of exponential growth only 3 days after that will need twice as many icu beds as you have. Although in my sector in London we managed to increase icu beds 4 fold, at that time there were very hard limits on oxygen supply which several hospitals in London came close to. Unless you subscribe to the theory that this is a hoax and given the uncertainty about the ability to control spread, building a field hospital in two weeks, three weeks before it might be needed is a reasonable project. I have seen a slide about the influenza pandemic. The second wave was very much larger than the first. It's not flu - we still have no idea where we are through inadequate testing. The field hospitals may still be needed or they may have been a very inadequate insurance policy we came within a week of needing.
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