on January 22, 2026, 8:18 am
22 Jan 2026 · 7:17 AM UTC
Electronic Warfare Begins in Shiraz: Iran's Radars Suddenly "Blinded" as the
Jordan Air Bridge Persists... Has the "Silent Preparation" Phase Begun?
Analysis of the Latest Update (Thursday Morning, January 22 - 06:29 GMT):
It appears that "electronic blindness" has officially reached the heart of
Iran. The new NOTAM (A0285/26) serves as the "golden evidence" marking the onset
of preliminary electronic warfare.
Here are the critical details:
1. Shiraz Loses Its Sight: Radar Failure (MSSR)
* The New NOTAM: (A0285/26)
* Content: The Monopulse Secondary Surveillance Radar (MSSR) in Shiraz is "Not
Available," and radar services in Sectors 3 and 4 of the Area Control Center
(ACC) may be cut off until this evening (January 22).
* Military Significance:
- Shiraz: This is the gateway to Southern and Central Iran. The loss of radar
there creates a "black hole" in civilian air coverage (and potentially military
coverage if the jamming is wide-spectrum).
- Timing: The sudden failure of radars coinciding with the US fleet going into
"Dark Mode" is a classic signature of a cyberattack or Electronic Warfare (EW).
2. The AWACS Enigma: A "Weakness" or a "Feint"?
The report noting the absence of Early Warning aircraft (E-3G AWACS) in the
region can be interpreted in two ways:
* Hypothesis 1 (Deception): The US is avoiding the aging E-3G because it is
"exposed" to Iranian and Chinese radars. Instead, it is relying on an integrated
network of:
- F-35s: Acting as "mini-AWACS" to exchange data.
- E-2D Advanced Hawkeye: Early warning aircraft launching from the aircraft
carrier Lincoln (which are present but do not appear in land-base reports).
- Ground Radars: The radar network in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Israel provides
sufficient coverage without the need for AWACS circling overhead and revealing
intentions.
* Hypothesis 2: The absence of AWACS implies the strike will be missile and
ballistic-based (launched from destroyers and long-range bombers) rather than a
traditional aerial battle requiring air-to-air combat management (Dogfight).
3. The "Muwaffaq Salti" Bridge: The Center of Gravity
The continued landing of C-17 aircraft (Flights RCH876, 869, 842...) at Muwaffaq
Salti Air Base (Jordan) confirms it will be the primary platform for defense and
offense.
* Jordan has effectively become a "land-based aircraft carrier," protecting
Israel from the East and attacking Iran from the West.
4. Trump's Statement: "They Will Not Have Nukes"
Trump speaking in the past tense ("We hit hard") and future tense ("It will
happen again") removes any diplomatic ambiguity.
* He is clearly stating: The goal is not "behavior change" of the regime, but
"disarmament."
* The phrase "We will find where they are now" implies the target bank has been
updated to include new secret nuclear sites or those that have been relocated.
Field Summary (Thursday Morning, January 22):
"Blindness" has begun:
* In Iran: Shiraz radars are out of service (deliberate action?).
* At Sea: The US fleet is in "Dark Mode."
* In Israel: GPS jamming in the North.
We are in the "lights out" phase before the show. The failure of the Shiraz
radar is the first "electronic shot" of the battle.