- Re: OffG and MoA debate C19 Archived Message
Posted by Willem
on April 23, 2020, 12:35 pm, in reply to "Re: OffG and MoA debate C19"
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Well, if the graph goes to below average at the end of the year by the same area under the curve, you'll know. But that is a hypothesis (your hypothesis). I made no hypothesis. I was merely expressing a caution about reading graphs -- namely the possibility that the total no. of excess deaths by the end of the year may be not very different from an average year. I thought you were against making public health decisions on the basis of a hypothesis. That is the core of your argument. The core of my argument is that there is NO assessment of the impact of the lockdown on society as a whole. There should be -- certainly from the government but also from those who are calling for this. The only impact that is considered is on the likely number of cases/deaths from COVID. |